BKMA II vs Alashkert II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.9%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.1%
5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
1º
5º
2º
23
9º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
69 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 60 |
4º
|
91% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
91% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
80% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
23 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BKMA II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
BKM
2 - 3
PYU
54%
23%
24%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
BKM
4 - 3
LAR
81%
13%
6%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ARA
2 - 1
BKM
43%
24%
33%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
BKM
2 - 4
WAR
28%
25%
47%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
MIK
1 - 4
BKM
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Alashkert II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ALA
2 - 2
SHI
52%
21%
27%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ALA
0 - 7
BAN
19%
20%
62%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
PYU
1 - 2
ALA
88%
9%
4%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
ARA
2 - 0
ALA
87%
9%
4%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ALA
0 - 2
WAR
12%
16%
72%
|
34 | 62 | 28 | 0 |