Division 1 Round 5

BK Forward vs Umeå analysis

BK Forward Umeå
56 ELO 49
5.3% Tilt 6.9%
7136º General ELO ranking 3140º
107º Country ELO ranking 37º
ELO win probability
57.5%
BK Forward
22.3%
Draw
20.2%
Umeå

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
BK Forward
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
20.2%
Win probability
Umeå
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
BK Forward
+46%
-21%
Umeå

ELO progression

BK Forward
Umeå
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

BK Forward
BK Forward
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 May. 2013
AFC
AFC Eskilstuna
1 - 1
BK Forward
BKF
27%
25%
48%
56 45 11 0
28 Apr. 2013
BKF
BK Forward
3 - 0
Selånger FK
SEL
69%
19%
13%
55 44 11 +1
19 Apr. 2013
ESK
Eskilstuna City
2 - 1
BK Forward
BKF
31%
25%
44%
56 48 8 -1
14 Apr. 2013
BKF
BK Forward
3 - 1
Sandvikens IF
SAN
68%
19%
13%
56 44 12 0
11 Nov. 2012
FAL
Falkenbergs
2 - 1
BK Forward
BKF
58%
21%
21%
56 61 5 0

Matches

Umeå
Umeå
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 May. 2013
UME
Umeå
0 - 1
IK Sirius
SIR
34%
26%
40%
50 61 11 0
28 Apr. 2013
VAS
Vasalunds IF
2 - 1
Umeå
UME
54%
23%
23%
51 54 3 -1
21 Apr. 2013
UME
Umeå
0 - 2
Valsta Syrianska
VAL
59%
22%
19%
52 49 3 -1
14 Apr. 2013
IKF
IK Frej
0 - 2
Umeå
UME
50%
25%
26%
51 54 3 +1
03 Nov. 2012
UME
Umeå
1 - 3
Assyriska FF
ASS
35%
24%
41%
52 59 7 -1