BK Forward vs Herrestads AIF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
24.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
7º
14º
7º
44
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
92.5% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
2º
|
92.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 32 |
7º
|
65% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 31 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 28 |
11º
|
24% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 26 |
12º
|
59.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
78% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
78% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BK Forward
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
BKF
2 - 0
LID
48%
21%
31%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
BKF
1 - 4
STE
66%
18%
16%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
GAU
2 - 1
BKF
38%
22%
40%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
YIK
0 - 2
BKF
26%
21%
53%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
NOR
1 - 4
BKF
21%
20%
59%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Herrestads AIF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
GRE
0 - 4
HER
52%
21%
28%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
IKZ
4 - 0
HER
14%
18%
69%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | -3 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
HER
1 - 1
SKS
65%
19%
16%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
HER
0 - 2
SKO
47%
22%
31%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
TIK
0 - 0
HER
47%
21%
32%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |