Bjelovar vs Zagorec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
7.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-57%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
7º
5º
34
3º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bjelovar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
NKG
1 - 1
BJE
38%
26%
37%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
BJE
3 - 1
JAP
58%
21%
21%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
TRN
2 - 1
BJE
31%
26%
43%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
MZL
0 - 1
BJE
47%
27%
27%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
BJE
1 - 3
NKR
29%
25%
46%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Zagorec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ZAG
0 - 2
HRV
32%
25%
43%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
NKO
1 - 2
ZAG
73%
17%
10%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
DUG
2 - 0
ZAG
63%
21%
16%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
DUB
2 - 0
ZAG
74%
16%
10%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
NKG
2 - 0
ZAG
58%
21%
21%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |