Croatia Third Division center Round 32

Bistra vs Kurilovec analysis

Bistra Kurilovec
33 ELO 35
-7.9% Tilt 0.2%
24741º General ELO ranking 8591º
108º Country ELO ranking 69º
ELO win probability
40.4%
Bistra
23.7%
Draw
35.8%
Kurilovec

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
Bistra
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
35.9%
Win probability
Kurilovec
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bistra
+33%
-33%
Kurilovec

Points and table prediction

Bistra
Their league position
Kurilovec
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
15º
14º
47
17º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Segesta
74
74
100%
Gaj Mače
64
64
100%
Vrapče
60
60
100%
Lučko
58
58
100%
NK Ponikve
51
51
100%
Zagorec
49
49
100%
NK Maksimir
47
47
0%
Samobor
47
47
0%
NK Trešnjevka
47
47
0%
Kurilovec
10º
47
47
10º
0%
NK HASK Zagreb
11º
46
46
11º
100%
Lukavec
12º
45
45
12º
100%
 Dinamo OO
13º
45
45
13º
100%
Bistra
14º
44
44
14º
100%
Mladost Petrinja
15º
40
40
15º
100%
Tondach Bedekovcina
16º
32
32
16º
100%
NK Zelina
17º
29
29
17º
0%
Sava Strmec
18º
26
29
18º
0%
Expected probabilities
Bistra
Kurilovec
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Bistra
Kurilovec
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bistra
Bistra
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 May. 2024
PON
NK Ponikve
5 - 0
Bistra
BIS
57%
22%
21%
33 40 7 0
12 May. 2024
BIS
Bistra
3 - 1
Mladost Petrinja
NMP
27%
22%
51%
30 38 8 +3
04 May. 2024
NKT
Tondach Bedekovcina
2 - 3
Bistra
BIS
43%
22%
35%
29 27 2 +1
01 May. 2024
BIS
Bistra
1 - 1
NK Trešnjevka
TRE
34%
24%
43%
28 34 6 +1
27 Apr. 2024
HAS
NK HASK Zagreb
2 - 0
Bistra
BIS
56%
21%
23%
29 33 4 -1

Matches

Kurilovec
Kurilovec
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 May. 2024
NUK
Kurilovec
1 - 0
Lukavec
LKV
43%
23%
35%
34 37 3 0
11 May. 2024
NKZ
NK Zelina
1 - 2
Kurilovec
NUK
35%
24%
42%
33 27 6 +1
04 May. 2024
NUK
Kurilovec
2 - 4
Segesta
SEG
18%
22%
60%
34 46 12 -1
01 May. 2024
ZAG
Zagorec
3 - 0
Kurilovec
NUK
64%
19%
17%
35 40 5 -1
27 Apr. 2024
NUK
Kurilovec
2 - 1
NK Maksimir
MAK
28%
23%
49%
33 40 7 +2