Bischofswerdaer vs SV 1899 Merseburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
53.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bischofswerdaer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
CHL
2 - 0
BIS
75%
16%
9%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
HZE
4 - 3
BIS
27%
22%
52%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
BIS
0 - 0
EIN
71%
18%
12%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 2
BIS
25%
24%
51%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
BIS
2 - 1
UNI
81%
12%
7%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
SV 1899 Merseburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
SCH
1 - 2
SVM
9%
19%
72%
|
58 | 25 | 33 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
GER
1 - 1
SVM
25%
24%
51%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
SVM
2 - 1
PLA
76%
16%
8%
|
60 | 39 | 21 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
BSC
1 - 2
SVM
8%
17%
75%
|
60 | 24 | 36 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
CHL
2 - 0
SVM
33%
28%
38%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |