Bischofswerdaer vs VFC Plauen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
26.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
1º
5º
2º
67
1º
10º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
61% | |
|
|
2º
|
64 | 68 |
2º
|
61% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
90.5% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 56 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 54 |
5º
|
80% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 47 |
6º
|
92.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
60% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
9º
|
75.5% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
42% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
12º
|
22.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
13º
|
33% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 28 |
14º
|
62.5% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 24 |
15º
|
49.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 22 |
16º
|
53.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
39% | 61% |
|
Mid-table
|
61% | 39% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bischofswerdaer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
EWD
3 - 4
BIS
27%
21%
52%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
BIS
4 - 1
SVG
72%
17%
11%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
GER
3 - 3
BIS
45%
23%
33%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
BIS
1 - 0
SCF
54%
21%
26%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
BIS
5 - 0
OBE
76%
15%
9%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
VFC Plauen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
PLA
4 - 1
UNI
66%
18%
16%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
AUE
1 - 3
PLA
47%
22%
32%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
PLA
3 - 0
VFL
78%
13%
8%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
FSV
1 - 0
PLA
23%
20%
57%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
SSV
3 - 0
PLA
85%
11%
4%
|
32 | 61 | 29 | 0 |