Birmingham City vs Wolves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2008 |
BIR
0 - 0
SWA
60%
23%
17%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
IPS
0 - 1
BIR
38%
27%
36%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
BIR
1 - 3
REA
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
PNE
1 - 0
BIR
31%
27%
42%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2008 |
PLY
0 - 1
BIR
30%
27%
43%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
WOL
1 - 3
PNE
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2008 |
BPO
2 - 2
WOL
33%
27%
40%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
WOL
1 - 1
SHE
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
DON
0 - 1
WOL
25%
28%
48%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
WOL
2 - 0
BAR
66%
21%
13%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |