Championship Round 22

Birmingham City vs Preston North End analysis

Birmingham City Preston North End
83 ELO 78
-6.1% Tilt -10.5%
626º General ELO ranking 981º
25º Country ELO ranking 35º
ELO win probability
54.1%
Birmingham City
24.3%
Draw
21.5%
Preston North End

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
Birmingham City
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.5%
Win probability
Preston North End
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Birmingham City
+2%
-6%
Preston North End

ELO progression

Birmingham City
Preston North End
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Birmingham City
Birmingham City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Dec. 2006
BIR
Birmingham City
3 - 0
Plymouth Argyle
PLY
67%
22%
12%
82 70 12 0
29 Nov. 2006
SOU
Southampton
4 - 3
Birmingham City
BIR
41%
28%
31%
82 78 4 0
25 Nov. 2006
BUR
Burnley
1 - 2
Birmingham City
BIR
31%
28%
41%
82 71 11 0
18 Nov. 2006
BIR
Birmingham City
1 - 1
Wolves
WOL
61%
23%
16%
82 74 8 0
11 Nov. 2006
BIR
Birmingham City
2 - 0
Barnsley
BAR
68%
20%
12%
82 63 19 0

Matches

Preston North End
Preston North End
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Dec. 2006
LUT
Luton Town
2 - 0
Preston North End
PNE
39%
26%
35%
79 68 11 0
28 Nov. 2006
PNE
Preston North End
1 - 1
Coventry City
COV
60%
23%
17%
79 71 8 0
25 Nov. 2006
PNE
Preston North End
0 - 0
Crystal Palace
CRY
55%
24%
21%
79 74 5 0
18 Nov. 2006
LEI
Leicester
0 - 1
Preston North End
PNE
39%
27%
33%
79 73 6 0
11 Nov. 2006
SOU
Southend United
0 - 0
Preston North End
PNE
30%
27%
43%
79 68 11 0