Birmingham City vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
34.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
ROT
0 - 1
BIR
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
BIR
2 - 0
STO
29%
28%
44%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
BRE
0 - 0
BIR
80%
15%
5%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
BIR
1 - 0
SWA
16%
23%
60%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
AFC
0 - 0
BIR
75%
17%
8%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
NTT
0 - 2
HUR
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
BRI
0 - 0
NTT
38%
28%
34%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
NTT
3 - 1
QPR
42%
28%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 1
NTT
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
BRE
1 - 1
NTT
70%
19%
12%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |