Birmingham City vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
30.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2003 |
BIR
3 - 2
SOU
33%
28%
40%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
CHA
0 - 2
BIR
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
BIR
2 - 0
SUN
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
TOT
2 - 1
BIR
70%
18%
12%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
BIR
1 - 0
WBA
55%
25%
20%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2003 |
WHU
1 - 0
MID
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
MID
0 - 2
ARS
20%
24%
56%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
MAC
0 - 0
MID
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
MID
3 - 0
WBA
71%
19%
10%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
MID
1 - 1
CHA
56%
24%
21%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |