Birmingham City vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
26.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1929 |
BBU
7 - 5
BIR
57%
21%
22%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1929 |
BIR
5 - 1
NEW
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1929 |
WHU
0 - 1
BIR
60%
20%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1929 |
SHE
4 - 2
BIR
62%
19%
19%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1929 |
BIR
4 - 1
HUR
48%
25%
28%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1929 |
MID
0 - 2
LEI
54%
22%
25%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1929 |
GRI
0 - 3
MID
41%
22%
37%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1929 |
BOL
2 - 2
MID
57%
21%
23%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1929 |
MID
2 - 3
MUD
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1929 |
SHE
1 - 3
MID
63%
18%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |