Premier League Round 28

Birmingham City vs Coventry City analysis

Birmingham City Coventry City
83 ELO 83
17% Tilt 4.6%
624º General ELO ranking 643º
25º Country ELO ranking 27º
ELO win probability
61.5%
Birmingham City
20.9%
Draw
17.6%
Coventry City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
Birmingham City
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
17.6%
Win probability
Coventry City
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Birmingham City
+9%
-2%
Coventry City

ELO progression

Birmingham City
Coventry City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Birmingham City
Birmingham City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Feb. 1977
WBA
West Bromwich Albion
2 - 1
Birmingham City
BIR
45%
25%
29%
83 81 2 0
12 Feb. 1977
BIR
Birmingham City
3 - 2
Norwich City
NOR
60%
22%
18%
83 84 1 0
05 Feb. 1977
LIV
Liverpool
4 - 1
Birmingham City
BIR
75%
16%
9%
83 91 8 0
02 Feb. 1977
LEE
Leeds United
1 - 0
Birmingham City
BIR
66%
19%
14%
83 88 5 0
24 Jan. 1977
BIR
Birmingham City
1 - 2
Leeds United
LEE
48%
25%
27%
84 88 4 -1

Matches

Coventry City
Coventry City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Feb. 1977
NOR
Norwich City
3 - 0
Coventry City
COV
55%
24%
21%
84 83 1 0
16 Feb. 1977
STO
Stoke City
2 - 0
Coventry City
COV
54%
25%
22%
84 85 1 0
05 Feb. 1977
LEE
Leeds United
1 - 2
Coventry City
COV
68%
20%
13%
84 89 5 0
29 Jan. 1977
ARS
Arsenal
3 - 1
Coventry City
COV
62%
23%
16%
84 86 2 0
22 Jan. 1977
COV
Coventry City
1 - 1
Middlesbrough
MID
50%
25%
25%
84 86 2 0