Birmingham City vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
33.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
BOL
3 - 1
BIR
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 2
BIR
18%
24%
57%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
BIR
2 - 2
BUR
57%
24%
20%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
BIR
2 - 2
CRY
54%
26%
21%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
WOL
1 - 0
BIR
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 0
MIL
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
CRY
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
LEI
0 - 1
CAR
47%
24%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 2
POS
73%
18%
9%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2012 |
BBU
1 - 4
CAR
51%
24%
24%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |