Birkenhead United vs Tauranga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
56.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+79%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
2º
9º
2º
20
1º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
25 | 53 |
1º
|
84% | |
|
|
1º
|
26 | 46 |
2º
|
29% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 45 |
3º
|
24.5% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 44 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
20 | 42 |
5º
|
29% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 37 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 28 |
7º
|
53% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 25 |
8º
|
53% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 17 |
9º
|
29% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 15 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 14 |
11º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 13 |
12º
|
52.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
82% | 55% |
|
Mid-table
|
18% | 45% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birkenhead United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2024 |
BIR
4 - 1
WCR
70%
16%
14%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
HAW
1 - 4
BIR
18%
18%
64%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
EAS
1 - 4
BIR
69%
18%
13%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
BIR
3 - 2
MAN
68%
17%
16%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
BIR
0 - 0
ECB
76%
14%
11%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Tauranga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
FEN
1 - 3
TCU
7%
12%
81%
|
49 | 15 | 34 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
TCU
1 - 0
HAW
77%
15%
9%
|
49 | 18 | 31 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
TCU
2 - 1
MAN
77%
15%
8%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
BAO
1 - 5
TCU
15%
19%
67%
|
49 | 23 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
TCU
2 - 2
ECB
78%
14%
8%
|
50 | 20 | 30 | -1 |