Binche vs Aywaille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
3º
6º
5º
0
7º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
0 | 64 |
1º
|
30% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 64 |
2º
|
20.5% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 62 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
2º
|
3 | 61 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
|
6º
|
0 | 56 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
3º
|
3 | 56 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 52 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
0 | 48 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 47 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
0 | 45 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 44 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 42 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
0 | 41 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
0 | 37 |
14º
|
10.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 35 |
15º
|
9.5% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 32 |
16º
|
10.5% | |
|
1º
|
3 | 30 |
17º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 28 |
18º
|
27.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
8.5% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
30.5% | 7% |
|
Mid-table
|
60.5% | 85.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 7% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Binche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2025 |
HOU
2 - 1
BIN
72%
17%
12%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2025 |
BIN
3 - 1
EMU
76%
16%
8%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2025 |
BIN
2 - 4
ENT
59%
22%
20%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
BIN
2 - 0
TUR
73%
17%
10%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
BIN
1 - 1
NAM
41%
25%
34%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aywaille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2025 |
AYW
1 - 1
EYN
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
KEW
2 - 0
AYW
15%
20%
65%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | -2 |
| 10 Jul. 2025 |
AYW
0 - 3
LIE
12%
18%
71%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
JET
1 - 0
AYW
34%
27%
39%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
AYW
2 - 1
SER
56%
22%
23%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |