Binaced vs Valfonda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
31.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-96%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Binaced
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
POM
2 - 0
BIN
26%
23%
52%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
BIN
3 - 2
AIN
66%
18%
16%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
GRA
0 - 3
BIN
40%
24%
36%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +2 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
BIN
2 - 1
LSA
33%
23%
45%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
BOL
2 - 4
BIN
39%
24%
38%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Valfonda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
VAL
0 - 1
PEN
25%
22%
53%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
PHI
0 - 1
VAL
66%
19%
16%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
VAL
3 - 0
PES
24%
22%
54%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | +2 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
LAF
1 - 1
VAL
62%
20%
19%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
VAL
2 - 0
ALC
34%
23%
43%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |