Billericay Town vs Swansea City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
63.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Billericay Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2007 |
BIL
4 - 0
MAI
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
BIL
2 - 5
EAS
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2007 |
FOL
3 - 2
BIL
24%
26%
51%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
BIL
0 - 4
BOR
54%
24%
22%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
HAR
3 - 1
BIL
25%
26%
50%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2007 |
MIL
2 - 2
SWA
23%
25%
52%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2007 |
SWA
1 - 1
GIL
66%
21%
14%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
YEO
1 - 2
SWA
30%
28%
42%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
BOU
1 - 4
SWA
25%
25%
50%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2007 |
SWA
2 - 0
WYC
62%
21%
16%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |