Bijelo Brdo vs Vukovar '91 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
22.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
4º
12º
4º
63
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bijelo Brdo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
RUD
2 - 1
BIJ
69%
20%
11%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
BIJ
1 - 2
HDR
36%
26%
38%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
NKO
1 - 1
BIJ
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
BIJ
2 - 3
KUS
35%
28%
37%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
INT
4 - 2
BIJ
54%
25%
21%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Vukovar '91
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
VUK
4 - 1
NKJ
28%
27%
45%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
DUB
0 - 0
VUK
64%
21%
16%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
VUK
0 - 1
DUB
29%
25%
46%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
MZL
0 - 2
VUK
45%
26%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +2 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
HRV
0 - 2
VUK
30%
26%
44%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |