Combined Counties League Spartan South Midlands Premier League Round 5

Biggleswade United vs Harpenden Town analysis

Biggleswade United Harpenden Town
22 ELO 25
9.9% Tilt 14%
12567º General ELO ranking 10140º
719º Country ELO ranking 514º
ELO win probability
32.1%
Biggleswade United
21.8%
Draw
46.1%
Harpenden Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.1%
Win probability
Biggleswade United
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
46.1%
Win probability
Harpenden Town
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Biggleswade United
-31%
+7%
Harpenden Town

ELO progression

Biggleswade United
Harpenden Town
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Biggleswade United
Biggleswade United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Oct. 2022
BIG
Biggleswade United
4 - 0
Baldock Town
BAL
55%
20%
25%
19 18 1 0
15 Oct. 2022
BIG
Biggleswade United
2 - 0
Colney Heath
COL
66%
18%
17%
19 17 2 0
08 Oct. 2022
BIG
Biggleswade United
3 - 2
Hoddesdon Town
HOD
30%
22%
48%
18 22 4 +1
01 Oct. 2022
LEI
Leighton Town
5 - 1
Biggleswade United
BIG
78%
14%
9%
18 30 12 0
17 Sep. 2022
BIG
Biggleswade United
3 - 2
Ardley United
ARD
16%
19%
65%
16 28 12 +2

Matches

Harpenden Town
Harpenden Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Oct. 2022
HAT
Harpenden Town
2 - 0
Arlesey Town
ARL
80%
13%
8%
25 15 10 0
11 Oct. 2022
HAT
Harpenden Town
0 - 2
Aylesbury
AYL
68%
17%
15%
25 19 6 0
08 Oct. 2022
BAL
Baldock Town
2 - 0
Harpenden Town
HAT
14%
18%
68%
27 16 11 -2
01 Oct. 2022
HAT
Harpenden Town
2 - 3
Risborough Rangers
RIS
24%
21%
55%
28 38 10 -1
17 Sep. 2022
HAT
Harpenden Town
3 - 3
Stotfold FC
STO
67%
18%
15%
28 21 7 0