Non League Div One Southern Central. Jor. 22

Biggleswade vs Welwyn Garden City analysis

Biggleswade Welwyn Garden City
30 ELO 29
6.8% Tilt -5.2%
8209º General ELO ranking 8411º
416º Country ELO ranking 437º
ELO win probability
55.3%
Biggleswade
20.7%
Draw
24%
Welwyn Garden City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
Biggleswade
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
24%
Win probability
Welwyn Garden City
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Biggleswade
-21%
-2%
Welwyn Garden City

Points and table prediction

Biggleswade
Their league position
Welwyn Garden City
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
15º
10º
54
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Biggleswade Town
72
72
100%
Bedford Town
69
69
100%
Ware
62
62
100%
Waltham Abbey
61
61
0%
AFC Dunstable
61
61
0%
Cirencester Town
57
57
100%
Stotfold FC
55
55
100%
Hadley
52
55
72%
Welwyn Garden City
54
54
72%
Biggleswade
10º
48
48
10º
0%
Kings Langley
11º
48
48
11º
0%
Barton Rovers
12º
44
44
12º
0%
Kidlington
13º
44
44
13º
87.5%
Hertford Town
14º
44
44
14º
0%
Aylesbury United
15º
43
43
15º
0%
North Leigh
16º
43
43
16º
0%
Leighton Town
17º
42
42
17º
100%
Thame United FC
18º
37
37
18º
100%
Kempston Rovers
19º
29
29
19º
100%
Expected probabilities
Biggleswade
Welwyn Garden City
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Biggleswade
Welwyn Garden City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Biggleswade
Biggleswade
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Feb. 2024
BFC
Biggleswade
2 - 0
Kings Langley
KIN
60%
20%
20%
31 26 5 0
27 Jan. 2024
WAR
Ware
1 - 0
Biggleswade
BFC
56%
20%
24%
32 32 0 -1
23 Jan. 2024
KIN
Kings Langley
1 - 2
Biggleswade
BFC
39%
23%
38%
31 27 4 +1
20 Jan. 2024
WAL
Waltham Abbey
1 - 1
Biggleswade
BFC
54%
21%
26%
32 33 1 -1
13 Jan. 2024
BFC
Biggleswade
1 - 2
Biggleswade Town
BIG
29%
25%
46%
34 42 8 -2

Matches

Welwyn Garden City
Welwyn Garden City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Feb. 2024
BAR
Barton Rovers
3 - 2
Welwyn Garden City
WEL
32%
23%
45%
29 25 4 0
03 Feb. 2024
KEM
Kempston Rovers
1 - 2
Welwyn Garden City
WEL
16%
19%
66%
29 16 13 0
27 Jan. 2024
WEL
Welwyn Garden City
1 - 3
North Leigh
NOR
33%
22%
45%
31 37 6 -2
13 Jan. 2024
WEL
Welwyn Garden City
3 - 4
Thame United FC
THA
75%
15%
10%
32 21 11 -1
27 Dec. 2023
WAL
Waltham Abbey
1 - 4
Welwyn Garden City
WEL
63%
19%
18%
30 36 6 +2
X