Non League Div One Southern Central. Jor. 17

Biggleswade vs Aylesbury United analysis

Biggleswade Aylesbury United
30 ELO 21
4.5% Tilt -5.8%
8295º General ELO ranking 10879º
418º Country ELO ranking 657º
ELO win probability
66.4%
Biggleswade
17.6%
Draw
16%
Aylesbury United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
Biggleswade
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
16%
Win probability
Aylesbury United
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Biggleswade
-23%
+21%
Aylesbury United

Points and table prediction

Biggleswade
Their league position
Aylesbury United
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
15º
10º
43
12º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Biggleswade Town
72
72
100%
Bedford Town
69
69
100%
Ware
62
62
100%
Waltham Abbey
61
61
0%
AFC Dunstable
61
61
0%
Cirencester Town
57
57
100%
Stotfold FC
55
55
100%
Hadley
52
55
72%
Welwyn Garden City
54
54
72%
Biggleswade
10º
48
48
10º
0%
Kings Langley
11º
48
48
11º
0%
Barton Rovers
12º
44
44
12º
0%
Kidlington
13º
44
44
13º
87.5%
Hertford Town
14º
44
44
14º
0%
Aylesbury United
15º
43
43
15º
0%
North Leigh
16º
43
43
16º
0%
Leighton Town
17º
42
42
17º
100%
Thame United FC
18º
37
37
18º
100%
Kempston Rovers
19º
29
29
19º
100%
Expected probabilities
Biggleswade
Aylesbury United
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Biggleswade
Aylesbury United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Biggleswade
Biggleswade
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2024
HAD
Hadley
2 - 1
Biggleswade
BFC
51%
23%
27%
31 33 2 0
11 Apr. 2024
BFC
Biggleswade
2 - 2
Barton Rovers
BAR
54%
21%
25%
31 28 3 0
06 Apr. 2024
BFC
Biggleswade
1 - 1
Cirencester Town
CIR
54%
22%
25%
31 31 0 0
01 Apr. 2024
BFC
Biggleswade
3 - 1
Stotfold FC
STO
54%
20%
26%
30 29 1 +1
30 Mar. 2024
NOR
North Leigh
0 - 3
Biggleswade
BFC
32%
23%
46%
29 22 7 +1

Matches

Aylesbury United
Aylesbury United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2024
AYL
Aylesbury United
0 - 0
Ware
WAR
18%
20%
62%
22 33 11 0
06 Apr. 2024
KEM
Kempston Rovers
0 - 5
Aylesbury United
AYL
41%
22%
37%
21 20 1 +1
04 Apr. 2024
KID
Kidlington
3 - 1
Aylesbury United
AYL
44%
23%
34%
22 22 0 -1
01 Apr. 2024
AYL
Aylesbury United
1 - 2
Thame United FC
THA
63%
20%
17%
22 18 4 0
23 Mar. 2024
AYL
Aylesbury United
2 - 0
North Leigh
NOR
33%
22%
45%
21 24 3 +1
X