Biggleswade vs Aylesbury United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
45%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Biggleswade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2020 |
COL
2 - 0
BFC
28%
22%
50%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
BFC
1 - 3
KID
46%
22%
32%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
BFC
0 - 2
BED
55%
20%
25%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
CAN
2 - 2
BFC
44%
23%
34%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
WEL
3 - 0
BFC
32%
23%
45%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Aylesbury United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
AYL
2 - 2
TIL
34%
23%
42%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
COL
1 - 4
AYL
25%
21%
54%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
BER
3 - 2
AYL
53%
21%
26%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
AYL
3 - 2
DAV
60%
21%
20%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
AYL
4 - 2
WAN
80%
13%
7%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | +1 |