Bigastro vs Formentera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
53.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bigastro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
CAL
4 - 2
BIG
32%
23%
45%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
BIG
4 - 5
ITC
85%
10%
5%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
BEN
1 - 1
BIG
43%
23%
34%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
SAN
3 - 0
BIG
8%
15%
77%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | -2 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
BIG
3 - 2
BEN
87%
9%
4%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Formentera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
FOR
4 - 2
BEN
78%
14%
9%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
RAC
2 - 1
FOR
35%
23%
42%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
FOR
4 - 3
RAC
81%
12%
7%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
RED
2 - 3
FOR
14%
18%
68%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
FOR
3 - 1
PET
79%
13%
8%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |