Biesheim vs US Fleury-Merogis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
59.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
8º
7º
46
2º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Biesheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BIE
2 - 1
FEI
50%
26%
25%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FCS
0 - 2
BIE
47%
25%
28%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
BIE
1 - 1
MAC
53%
21%
26%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
BOB
3 - 0
BIE
71%
18%
11%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BIE
1 - 0
BRC
36%
27%
38%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
US Fleury-Merogis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FLE
1 - 2
COL
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FEI
1 - 3
FLE
14%
22%
64%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
FLE
0 - 1
BOU
31%
27%
43%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
FCS
0 - 3
FLE
17%
23%
61%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FLE
0 - 0
FUR
54%
25%
21%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |