Biensa vs Castellnovo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.5%
Win probability
4.2
Expected goals
10-0
0.4%
+10
0.4%
9-0
0.9%
10-1
0.2%
+9
1.1%
8-0
1.9%
9-1
0.6%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.5%
7-0
3.5%
8-1
1.2%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
5%
6-0
5.9%
7-1
2.3%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
8.7%
5-0
8.4%
6-1
3.9%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
+5
13.2%
4-0
10%
5-1
5.6%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
17.1%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.4%
5%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
2.2%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
5%
2.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
1.6%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+90%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Biensa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
BIE
3 - 0
CDA
81%
11%
8%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
SEG
0 - 7
BIE
10%
16%
74%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
EST
1 - 3
BIE
7%
13%
80%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
BIE
2 - 2
PUI
68%
16%
16%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
ATL
1 - 2
BIE
32%
22%
47%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Castellnovo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
CDA
4 - 1
CAS
52%
21%
26%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
CAS
1 - 3
PUI
15%
17%
69%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
RFB
2 - 2
CAS
48%
21%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
CAS
2 - 3
CAN
45%
21%
34%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
CLU
2 - 4
CAS
23%
20%
58%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | +1 |