Biel-Bienne vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
25.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Biel-Bienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
LOC
2 - 2
BIE
27%
25%
48%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2010 |
BIE
5 - 0
STA
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
FCM
0 - 3
BIE
35%
23%
42%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
LUG
2 - 2
BIE
66%
21%
14%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
BIE
2 - 1
SCH
53%
24%
23%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2010 |
FCA
0 - 0
SER
40%
26%
34%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
FCA
1 - 2
WIL
54%
25%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
FCA
2 - 3
KRI
50%
24%
26%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
LAU
2 - 2
FCA
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2010 |
FCA
2 - 3
FCV
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |