Bideford vs Bristol Manor Farm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
30.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bideford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2018 |
YAT
2 - 0
BID
29%
23%
48%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
BID
1 - 1
LAR
62%
20%
18%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
BID
2 - 0
WIN
56%
22%
22%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +3 |
| 26 Apr. 2018 |
CIN
3 - 4
BID
47%
22%
31%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
SAL
1 - 0
BID
76%
14%
10%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Bristol Manor Farm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 2
BRI
10%
16%
74%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
BRI
1 - 4
CIR
34%
21%
45%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
BRI
2 - 3
SAL
18%
17%
64%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
CIN
2 - 0
BRI
45%
21%
34%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
TAU
2 - 1
BRI
77%
15%
8%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | 0 |