FA Cup . 1/1024
Global 2-1
Bideford vs Bodmin Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
22.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bideford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
BID
1 - 2
WIM
58%
22%
20%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
BOD
1 - 1
BID
22%
19%
59%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
BID
1 - 3
EVE
25%
24%
52%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
BID
5 - 1
BIS
55%
23%
22%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 2
BID
23%
21%
56%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Bodmin Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
BOD
1 - 1
BID
22%
19%
59%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
HOR
0 - 2
BOD
69%
16%
14%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
HEN
1 - 4
BOD
11%
16%
73%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
BUC
2 - 3
BOD
33%
22%
46%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2017 |
BOD
1 - 3
CAR
5%
11%
83%
|
16 | 67 | 51 | -1 |