Russian Amateur Football League Center Jor. 18

BGUOR vs Yelets analysis

BGUOR Yelets
7 ELO 13
-0.8% Tilt 1.5%
49391º General ELO ranking 47119º
596º Country ELO ranking 569º
ELO win probability
18.3%
BGUOR
19.1%
Draw
62.6%
Yelets

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.3%
Win probability
BGUOR
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
62.6%
Win probability
Yelets
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
BGUOR
+400%
+384%
Yelets

Points and table prediction

BGUOR
Their league position
Yelets
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
10º
12º
12º
29
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Metallurg Oskol
54
64
100%
Lokomotiv Liski
49
59
100%
FK Orel
51
57
100%
Atom Novovoronezh
41
50
100%
Urozhay
40
46
100%
Yelets
29
39
100%
Rotor Volgograd II
30
36
100%
Dinamo Bryansk Ii
27
30
100%
Spartak Tambov II
14
16
88%
Metallurg Lipetsk Ii
11º
11
14
10º
88%
FK Kaluga II
13º
10
14
11º
100%
BGUOR
12º
10
13
12º
100%
Avangard Kursk Ii
10º
13
13
13º
100%
Expected probabilities
BGUOR
Yelets
Final Series
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

BGUOR
Yelets
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

BGUOR
BGUOR
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Aug. 2023
FKK
FK Kaluga II
0 - 3
BGUOR
BGU
53%
20%
27%
5 6 1 0
20 Aug. 2023
DIN
Dinamo Bryansk Ii
3 - 0
BGUOR
BGU
79%
13%
8%
5 12 7 0
12 Aug. 2023
URO
Urozhay
3 - 1
BGUOR
BGU
89%
8%
3%
5 15 10 0
05 Aug. 2023
ORE
FK Orel
8 - 1
BGUOR
BGU
89%
8%
3%
5 17 12 0
15 Jul. 2023
AVA
Avangard Kursk Ii
2 - 0
BGUOR
BGU
48%
21%
31%
5 5 0 0

Matches

Yelets
Yelets
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Aug. 2023
LOK
Lokomotiv Liski
3 - 0
Yelets
YEL
88%
9%
3%
13 48 35 0
19 Aug. 2023
YEL
Yelets
0 - 2
Metallurg Oskol
MET
8%
14%
78%
14 41 27 -1
12 Aug. 2023
YEL
Yelets
2 - 1
Rotor Volgograd II
ROT
30%
22%
49%
13 16 3 +1
06 Aug. 2023
YEL
Yelets
3 - 1
Metallurg Lipetsk Ii
MET
71%
16%
13%
12 8 4 +1
15 Jul. 2023
YEL
Yelets
0 - 1
Atom Novovoronezh
ATO
6%
11%
83%
13 45 32 -1
X