BGA vs SC Egedal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
58.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BGA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
BGA
0 - 3
VAN
22%
23%
54%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
HVI
9 - 1
BGA
80%
14%
7%
|
30 | 58 | 28 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
BGA
0 - 4
SKJ
28%
23%
49%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -2 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
B93
1 - 3
BGA
77%
15%
9%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
BGA
0 - 2
NOR
15%
20%
65%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
SC Egedal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SCE
2 - 1
AVA
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
BFR
2 - 1
SCE
58%
21%
21%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
SCE
3 - 1
SVE
37%
25%
38%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
RIS
2 - 2
SCE
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
SCE
2 - 1
HER
31%
24%
45%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +2 |