BGA vs B 1903 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
64.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BGA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
FRE
1 - 1
BGA
79%
13%
8%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
BGA
0 - 0
VAN
17%
23%
60%
|
24 | 48 | 24 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
BAL
2 - 1
BGA
76%
15%
9%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
BGA
0 - 0
KAS
21%
22%
57%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
AVE
1 - 1
BGA
84%
11%
5%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
B 1903
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
FA2
0 - 2
B19
39%
25%
37%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
B19
1 - 1
LSF
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 1
B19
16%
20%
64%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
LSF
1 - 0
B19
38%
25%
37%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
B19
1 - 3
B19
44%
26%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |