BFC Daugavpils vs Vllaznia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
17.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
FSL
2 - 4
BFC
6%
12%
82%
|
70 | 40 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2025 |
VLZ
0 - 1
BFC
40%
25%
36%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
CAR
1 - 1
BFC
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2025 |
BFC
1 - 7
RIG
31%
25%
44%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2025 |
BFC
3 - 2
GRO
49%
24%
27%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Vllaznia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2025 |
VLZ
0 - 1
BFC
40%
25%
36%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
VLZ
0 - 2
PET
30%
26%
45%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2025 |
OLI
4 - 0
VLZ
67%
19%
14%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
VLZ
1 - 0
UTA
29%
25%
46%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2025 |
FCK
5 - 3
VLZ
68%
19%
13%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |