BFC Daugavpils vs Valmiera FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
61.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
12%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
7º
10º
7º
53
3º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
BFC
4 - 2
FSM
41%
25%
34%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SUP
0 - 1
BFC
25%
24%
51%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FKJ
0 - 0
BFC
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
FKT
3 - 0
BFC
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
BFC
0 - 2
AUD
26%
27%
47%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Valmiera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FKT
3 - 2
VAL
20%
23%
58%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
SUP
82%
13%
5%
|
77 | 45 | 32 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 2
AUD
55%
25%
20%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
LIE
1 - 4
VAL
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 0
RIG
35%
25%
40%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |