BFC Daugavpils vs Valmiera FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.8%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.1%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
75.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.6%
0-2
15.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
11.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
15.1%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
7º
10º
7º
53
3º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
FSM
3 - 2
BFC
44%
25%
31%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
BFC
3 - 0
SUP
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
BFC
6 - 0
MCF
46%
22%
32%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
JGV
2 - 1
BFC
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
FKT
1 - 0
BFC
59%
22%
20%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Valmiera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
VAL
4 - 3
FKT
73%
18%
10%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
AUD
0 - 4
VAL
30%
24%
46%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 1
LIE
43%
26%
32%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 0
RIG
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
DYN
1 - 1
VAL
43%
24%
33%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |