BFC Daugavpils vs SK Super Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
7º
10º
7º
14
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
BFC
1 - 1
FKJ
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2023 |
BFC
3 - 1
FKT
29%
24%
47%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
AUD
1 - 1
BFC
70%
19%
12%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
BFC
1 - 2
LIE
14%
22%
64%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2023 |
RIG
3 - 1
BFC
78%
16%
7%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
SK Super Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
SUP
2 - 5
FKT
17%
19%
64%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
SUP
0 - 5
AUD
13%
23%
64%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
LIE
2 - 1
SUP
79%
15%
6%
|
46 | 75 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
SUP
1 - 6
RIG
6%
16%
78%
|
47 | 78 | 31 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2023 |
CAR
5 - 1
SUP
80%
15%
5%
|
47 | 78 | 31 | 0 |