BFC Daugavpils vs FK Metta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
20.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
2º
6º
5º
14
3º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 79 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 77 |
2º
|
55.5% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 60 |
3º
|
48% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 59 |
4º
|
46% | |
|
|
5º
|
26 | 45 |
5º
|
55% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 39 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 37 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 36 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 36 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 30 |
10º
|
59% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
1% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
95.5% | 20.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3% | 20.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 59% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2025 |
BFC
1 - 7
RIG
31%
25%
44%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2025 |
BFC
3 - 2
GRO
49%
24%
27%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
BFC
1 - 2
FKT
53%
23%
24%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2025 |
FSM
2 - 2
BFC
34%
26%
39%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
LIE
1 - 1
BFC
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FK Metta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
FSM
0 - 3
FKT
39%
24%
36%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
SUP
1 - 1
FSM
53%
23%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
LIE
1 - 0
FSM
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2025 |
FSM
2 - 2
BFC
34%
26%
39%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
FKJ
2 - 1
FSM
43%
25%
31%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |