BFC Daugavpils vs FK Metta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
28.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
6º
5º
21
3º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 84 |
1º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 79 |
2º
|
67% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 61 |
3º
|
87.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 52 |
4º
|
58.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 49 |
5º
|
57.5% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 37 |
6º
|
31.5% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 36 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 35 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
|
9º
|
21 | 32 |
9º
|
26% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 31 |
10º
|
38% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
2% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98% | 36.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 26% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 37.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
BFC
4 - 2
LIE
30%
26%
44%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2025 |
BFC
1 - 1
SUP
51%
24%
25%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2025 |
FKJ
4 - 1
BFC
30%
28%
42%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
BFC
2 - 1
AUD
29%
26%
45%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
CAR
1 - 2
BFC
66%
21%
13%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
FK Metta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
FSM
0 - 0
FKJ
52%
24%
24%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
FSM
0 - 1
AUD
27%
26%
47%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2025 |
CAR
1 - 1
FSM
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
FSM
1 - 0
RIG
21%
24%
55%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
GRO
2 - 4
FSM
52%
22%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |