BFC Daugavpils vs FK Metta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
27.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
6º
5º
36
5º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
87 | 87 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
BFC
4 - 1
FKT
39%
25%
37%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
GRO
1 - 3
BFC
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
BFC
1 - 0
FKJ
50%
26%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
BFC
0 - 0
LIE
26%
26%
49%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 1
BFC
70%
20%
10%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
FK Metta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
FSM
3 - 0
FKJ
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
LIE
1 - 2
FSM
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
FSM
1 - 1
VAL
16%
22%
62%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
FSM
1 - 3
AUD
24%
28%
48%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
FSM
1 - 2
CAR
18%
25%
57%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | -1 |