BFC Daugavpils vs FK Tukums 2000 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
47.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
7º
10º
7º
35
2º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
BFC
0 - 2
AUD
23%
27%
50%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
LIE
1 - 0
BFC
76%
17%
7%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
BFC
0 - 5
RIG
13%
22%
65%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
BFC
1 - 1
CAR
11%
22%
67%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
BFC
1 - 1
VAL
8%
17%
75%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
FK Tukums 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
2 - 2
FKT
49%
25%
27%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
AUD
0 - 3
FKT
66%
19%
15%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
FKT
0 - 3
LIE
17%
24%
60%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
RIG
1 - 0
FKT
73%
18%
10%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
FKT
0 - 2
CAR
16%
24%
61%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |