BFC Daugavpils vs FK Tukums 2000 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.2%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
9.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
BFC
4 - 1
FKJ
77%
15%
8%
|
55 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
BFC
2 - 0
VAL
64%
20%
16%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
RIG
2 - 2
BFC
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
BFC
1 - 0
VAR
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
FCJ
0 - 2
BFC
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
FK Tukums 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2013 |
SAL
2 - 0
FKT
65%
18%
17%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
FKT
4 - 1
FKJ
44%
22%
35%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +3 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
VEN
3 - 1
FKT
82%
12%
6%
|
27 | 56 | 29 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
FKT
0 - 5
VAL
21%
21%
58%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
FKT
0 - 4
GUL
19%
21%
60%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | -2 |