BFC Daugavpils vs FK Tukums 2000 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
15.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
VAL
0 - 1
BFC
39%
25%
36%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
BFC
1 - 1
FCS
42%
25%
34%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
BFC
2 - 1
ILU
83%
12%
5%
|
49 | 22 | 27 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
BFC
1 - 2
LME
26%
23%
52%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
BFC
0 - 3
FSM
34%
25%
41%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
FK Tukums 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
FKT
1 - 3
LIE
29%
24%
47%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
SAL
2 - 1
FKT
56%
21%
23%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 2
FKT
50%
23%
28%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
FKT
2 - 3
RIG
16%
20%
64%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
VAL
6 - 0
FKT
42%
24%
34%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -2 |