Latvian Cup Quarter-finals

BFC Daugavpils vs FK Liepāja analysis

BFC Daugavpils FK Liepāja
70 ELO 77
11.7% Tilt -3.5%
1843º General ELO ranking 1092º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
31.8%
BFC Daugavpils
22.8%
Draw
45.4%
FK Liepāja

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.8%
Win probability
BFC Daugavpils
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
45.4%
Win probability
FK Liepāja
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO progression

BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepāja
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

BFC Daugavpils
BFC Daugavpils
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Aug. 2025
LIE
FK Liepāja
2 - 1
BFC Daugavpils
BFC
55%
25%
20%
71 77 6 0
02 Aug. 2025
SUP
SK Super Nova
1 - 1
BFC Daugavpils
BFC
45%
26%
29%
71 68 3 0
27 Jul. 2025
BFC
BFC Daugavpils
2 - 0
FS Jelgava
FKJ
60%
22%
18%
70 65 5 +1
20 Jul. 2025
AUD
FK Auda
1 - 3
BFC Daugavpils
BFC
58%
24%
18%
68 77 9 +2
17 Jul. 2025
BFC
BFC Daugavpils
2 - 4
Vllaznia
VLZ
60%
21%
19%
69 64 5 -1

Matches

FK Liepāja
FK Liepāja
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Aug. 2025
LIE
FK Liepāja
2 - 1
BFC Daugavpils
BFC
55%
25%
20%
77 71 6 0
02 Aug. 2025
FKJ
FS Jelgava
1 - 2
FK Liepāja
LIE
20%
25%
55%
77 64 13 0
27 Jul. 2025
LIE
FK Liepāja
2 - 0
FK Auda
AUD
43%
27%
30%
77 77 0 0
19 Jul. 2025
LIE
FK Liepāja
2 - 3
Riga FC
CAR
38%
26%
36%
77 77 0 0
12 Jul. 2025
KFV
JFK Ventspils
0 - 2
FK Liepāja
LIE
3%
8%
89%
76 48 28 +1