BFC Daugavpils vs FK Liepāja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
44.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
6º
5º
44
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 84 |
1º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 79 |
2º
|
67% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 61 |
3º
|
87.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 52 |
4º
|
58.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 49 |
5º
|
57.5% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 37 |
6º
|
31.5% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 36 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 35 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 32 |
9º
|
26% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 31 |
10º
|
38% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
2% | 87.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
98% | 12.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2025 |
BFC
1 - 1
SUP
51%
24%
25%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2025 |
FKJ
4 - 1
BFC
30%
28%
42%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
BFC
2 - 1
AUD
29%
26%
45%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
CAR
1 - 2
BFC
66%
21%
13%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
BFC
1 - 2
RIG
23%
24%
53%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
FK Liepāja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2025 |
LIE
1 - 0
FKJ
66%
21%
14%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2025 |
AUD
3 - 0
LIE
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2025 |
LIE
2 - 5
CAR
36%
26%
38%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
RIG
4 - 1
LIE
52%
24%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
HLI
3 - 3
LIE
51%
23%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |