Virsliga Round 15

BFC Daugavpils vs FS Jelgava analysis

BFC Daugavpils FS Jelgava
58 ELO 0
4.8% Tilt 1.9%
1801º General ELO ranking º
Country ELO ranking º
ELO win probability
29.1%
BFC Daugavpils
25.9%
Draw
45%
FS Jelgava

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.7%
Win probability
BFC Daugavpils
1.13
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
+5
0.5%
4-0
2.2%
+4
2.2%
3-0
7.8%
+3
7.8%
2-0
20.6%
+2
20.6%
1-0
36.5%
+1
36.5%
32.3%
Draw
0-0
32.3%
0
32.3%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
BFC Daugavpils
-10%
-6%
FS Jelgava

Points and table prediction

BFC Daugavpils
Their league position
FS Jelgava
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
10º
40
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
FK RFS
89
89
100%
Riga FC
88
88
100%
FK Auda
58
58
100%
Valmiera FC
53
53
100%
FK Liepāja
51
51
100%
FS Jelgava
40
40
100%
BFC Daugavpils
36
36
100%
FK Tukums 2000
35
35
100%
FK Metta
33
33
100%
SK Super Nova
10º
14
14
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

BFC Daugavpils
BFC Daugavpils
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 May. 2023
VAL
Valmiera FC
1 - 0
BFC Daugavpils
BFC
79%
15%
6%
56 77 21 0
18 May. 2023
BFC
BFC Daugavpils
1 - 1
FK Metta
FSM
34%
26%
41%
56 58 2 0
14 May. 2023
SUP
SK Super Nova
0 - 4
BFC Daugavpils
BFC
34%
25%
42%
56 49 7 0
08 May. 2023
CAR
Riga FC
1 - 0
BFC Daugavpils
BFC
77%
17%
6%
56 78 22 0
03 May. 2023
BFC
BFC Daugavpils
3 - 3
FK Tukums 2000
FKT
28%
25%
48%
56 60 4 0

Matches

FS Jelgava
FS Jelgava
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Mar. 2023
FKJ
FS Jelgava
1 - 0
JDFS Alberts
ALB
48%
25%
28%
58 56 2 0
24 Feb. 2023
PAN
FK Panevėžys
1 - 0
FS Jelgava
FKJ
72%
18%
11%
58 71 13 0
18 Feb. 2023
KUR
Kuressaare
3 - 1
FS Jelgava
FKJ
57%
22%
21%
58 61 3 0
12 Feb. 2023
FKJ
FS Jelgava
0 - 2
Banga
BAN
51%
24%
25%
58 55 3 0
04 Feb. 2023
FKJ
FS Jelgava
0 - 6
FK RFS
RIG
13%
19%
68%
59 76 17 -1