BFC Daugavpils vs FS Jelgava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
29.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2014 |
FCJ
1 - 2
BFC
40%
26%
34%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
BFC
0 - 3
VEN
23%
25%
53%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
BFC
0 - 1
FCD
29%
25%
45%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
FCS
3 - 1
BFC
69%
20%
11%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
BFC
3 - 2
FKD
31%
26%
43%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2014 |
FKJ
1 - 1
FSM
75%
16%
9%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
FKJ
4 - 1
FKD
38%
26%
37%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2014 |
FKJ
1 - 0
LIE
22%
21%
57%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
FKJ
1 - 2
VEN
25%
25%
50%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
LIE
2 - 3
FKJ
66%
22%
12%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |