Virsliga Round 5

BFC Daugavpils vs FS Jelgava analysis

BFC Daugavpils FS Jelgava
62 ELO 66
12.6% Tilt 0.7%
1809º General ELO ranking 2357º
Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
45%
BFC Daugavpils
25.6%
Draw
29.4%
FS Jelgava

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
BFC Daugavpils
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
29.4%
Win probability
FS Jelgava
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
BFC Daugavpils
-27%
-24%
FS Jelgava

ELO progression

BFC Daugavpils
FS Jelgava
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

BFC Daugavpils
BFC Daugavpils
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 May. 2014
FCJ
FC Jurmala
1 - 2
BFC Daugavpils
BFC
40%
26%
34%
62 58 4 0
01 May. 2014
BFC
BFC Daugavpils
0 - 3
Ventspils
VEN
23%
25%
53%
63 77 14 -1
26 Apr. 2014
BFC
BFC Daugavpils
0 - 1
FC Daugava
FCD
29%
25%
45%
63 73 10 0
20 Apr. 2014
FCS
Skonto Riga
3 - 1
BFC Daugavpils
BFC
69%
20%
11%
64 77 13 -1
16 Apr. 2014
BFC
BFC Daugavpils
3 - 2
Daugava Riga
FKD
31%
26%
43%
63 71 8 +1

Matches

FS Jelgava
FS Jelgava
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 May. 2014
FKJ
FS Jelgava
1 - 1
FK Metta
FSM
75%
16%
9%
66 51 15 0
01 May. 2014
FKJ
FS Jelgava
4 - 1
Daugava Riga
FKD
38%
26%
37%
65 69 4 +1
23 Apr. 2014
FKJ
FS Jelgava
1 - 0
Liepājas Metalurgs
LIE
22%
21%
57%
64 77 13 +1
20 Apr. 2014
FKJ
FS Jelgava
1 - 2
Ventspils
VEN
25%
25%
50%
64 77 13 0
16 Apr. 2014
LIE
FK Liepāja
2 - 3
FS Jelgava
FKJ
66%
22%
12%
63 73 10 +1