Philadelphia Union II vs Ottawa Fury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
30.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Philadelphia Union II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
TOR
0 - 2
PHU
19%
23%
58%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
PHU
1 - 2
PIT
44%
26%
30%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2018 |
CHA
0 - 3
PHU
46%
25%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +2 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
RIC
0 - 3
PHU
33%
26%
42%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
PHU
4 - 1
AFC
56%
23%
22%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Ottawa Fury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
OTT
0 - 0
IND
32%
28%
40%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
OTT
2 - 0
RIC
62%
23%
15%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
NSC
2 - 0
OTT
56%
25%
19%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
AFC
1 - 1
OTT
31%
26%
43%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
OTT
2 - 0
TAM
39%
27%
35%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |