Philadelphia Union II vs Cincinnati analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
52.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Philadelphia Union II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
PHU
0 - 2
ORL
41%
25%
35%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
PNN
3 - 2
PHU
64%
19%
17%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
PHU
2 - 0
CIN
23%
25%
52%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
PHU
2 - 3
ROC
26%
28%
47%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
PHU
0 - 2
ORL
41%
25%
35%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cincinnati
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
CIN
1 - 1
LOU
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
CIN
1 - 1
TAM
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
CIN
4 - 0
LOU
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
PHU
2 - 0
CIN
23%
25%
52%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
PIT
0 - 1
CIN
28%
26%
47%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | +1 |