Besa Kavajë vs Apolonia Fier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
45.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
6º
11º
9º
46
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Besa Kavajë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2023 |
LUS
2 - 1
BES
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2023 |
BES
0 - 1
VOR
27%
23%
50%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
BES
1 - 1
KRU
36%
26%
38%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
BYL
0 - 0
BES
72%
18%
10%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
BES
2 - 0
LUZ
47%
24%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Apolonia Fier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
APO
2 - 2
KOR
62%
23%
15%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
APO
4 - 1
LUS
57%
23%
20%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
APO
2 - 1
VOR
41%
25%
35%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
KRU
1 - 1
APO
43%
26%
30%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
APO
0 - 1
BYL
31%
27%
42%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |