Besa Kavajë vs Apolonia Fier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
42.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Besa Kavajë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
BES
0 - 2
KAM
14%
21%
65%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
POG
2 - 1
BES
62%
22%
16%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
KOR
4 - 0
BES
41%
28%
32%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
BES
3 - 1
SHK
44%
26%
31%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
BUR
1 - 0
BES
49%
26%
25%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Apolonia Fier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
POG
0 - 1
APO
44%
26%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
TUR
0 - 1
APO
31%
26%
43%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
TOM
1 - 1
APO
37%
26%
36%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
APO
3 - 1
POG
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
APO
0 - 1
TIR
15%
25%
59%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | 0 |